[van id=âtv/2016/10/24/ip-trump-sway-undecided-voters.cnnâ]
Fifteen days before the election, Trump is trying to change the course of the race. The âInside Politicsâ panel weighs in on his playbook.
By Julia Manchester, CNN
Donald Trump told a crowd of supporters in Florida Monday that he is in the lead in the race for the White House, despite being behind in the majority of national polls.
âSome great polls have just come out. I believe weâre actually winning,â Trump said, slamming the mainstream media.
The GOP presidential candidate went on to cite two polls, which he said show him leading Clinton.
âThe Investors (Business) Daily poll, which was the single most accurate poll for the last three cycles. The last three presidential races. Weâre up. We just went up. We were down three. We were down five. Weâre now two up in Rasmussen. Just came out this morning. Weâre up in another couple of polls,â Trump said.
Neither the IBD/TIPP nor the Rasmussen polls meet CNNâs polling standards, for different reasons. IBD/TIPP poll does not disclose critical pieces of its methodology and Rasmussen uses a blend of online and telephone polling without live interviewers.
However, the majority of national polls show Trump trailing Clinton by wide margins. A new ABC News/Washington Post poll shows Clinton with a 12-point lead over Trump among likely-voters. According to the most recent CNN Poll of Polls, which averages the results from the four most recent publicly released national polls, Clinton leads Trump by 8-points among likely voters.
The businessman-turned-politician also told the crowd he was leading in the key swing states.
âWeâre up in Ohio, weâre up in Iowa. Weâre doing great in North Carolina,â he said. âI think weâre doing great in Florida. I think weâre really â I think weâre going to win Florida big.â
Trump and Clinton are deadlocked in North Carolina and Ohio. A new Monmouth University poll shows Trump trailing Clinton by just one point in North Carolina, while polls from Quinnipiac University and Suffolk University show both candidates at 45% support among likely voters in Ohio. Clinton leads by a wider margin in Florida, where she leads with 48% support to Trumpâs 44% according to a Quinnipiac University poll.
Trumpâs campaign manager Kellyanne Conway said Sunday Trump was behind, about two weeks before Election Day.
âWe are behind. She has some advantages,â Conway told NBCâs âMeet the Press,â adding that Clinton âhas a former president, happens to be her husband, campaigning for her; the current president and first lady, vice president â all much more popular than she can hope to be. And sheâs seen as the incumbent.â
Jason Miller, Trumpâs senior communications adviser, told CNNâs Wolf Blitzer on the âSituation Roomâ Monday that the campaign is doing âfantastic.â
âLet me tell you where heâs behind. Heâs behind in Pennsylvania, slightly. Heâs behind slightly in Michigan. Thereâs these blue states Mr. Trump is putting into play where we get zero credit for doing so,â he said. âWeâre leading in places like Iowa, which has been blue the last couple of cycles. Weâre leading in Ohio. Weâre probably a tied race in North Carolina. We might be slightly ahead there. In Florida, I believe weâre within the margin in that state. Weâre ahead with absentees at this moment.
He added: âWe believe weâre winning this race. Mr. Trump said that in his very last rally that he was in. Thatâs the real reflection of where we are as a campaign.â
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